All Things SCOTUS

Irish YJ

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Creating a dedicated thread as folks are posting in multiple threads on the topic, and I was surprised we didn't have a SCOTUS thread....

Early odds...
Brett Kavanaugh at 34%
Thomas Hardiman 16%
Amy Coney Barrett ND GRAD 11%

List of potential nominees
Amy Coney Barrett of Indiana, U.S. Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit
Keith Blackwell of Georgia, Supreme Court of Georgia
Charles Canady of Florida, Supreme Court of Florida
Steven Colloton of Iowa, U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit
Allison Eid of Colorado, U.S. Court of Appeals for the Tenth Circuit
Britt Grant of Georgia, Supreme Court of Georgia
Raymond Gruender of Missouri, U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit
Thomas Hardiman of Pennsylvania, U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit
Brett Kavanaugh of Maryland, U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit
Raymond Kethledge of Michigan, U.S. Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit
Joan Larsen of Michigan, U.S. Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit
Mike Lee of Utah, United States Senator
Thomas Lee of Utah, Supreme Court of Utah
Edward Mansfield of Iowa, Supreme Court of Iowa
Federico Moreno of Florida, U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Florida
Kevin Newsom of Alabama, U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit
William Pryor of Alabama, U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit
Margaret Ryan of Virginia, U.S. Court of Appeals for the Armed Forces
David Stras of Minnesota, U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit
Diane Sykes of Wisconsin, U.S. Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit
Amul Thapar of Kentucky, U.S. Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit
Timothy Tymkovich of Colorado, U.S. Court of Appeals for the Tenth Circuit
Robert Young of Michigan, Supreme Court of Michigan (Ret.)
Don Willett of Texas, Supreme Court of Texas
Patrick Wyrick of Oklahoma, Supreme Court of Oklahoma

https://www.dailywire.com/news/32394/heres-list-trumps-potential-scotus-replacements-paul-bois

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-court-kennedy-bets/online-bettors-see-kavanaugh-as-likely-u-s-supreme-court-nominee-idUSKBN1JN350
 

Irish YJ

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51-49 or better.


Those on both sides better think carefully.

They will be fine so long as they keep fringe folks like Collins in line with a safe pick. If they go ultra right, they may have problems. A safe pick would also put pressure on moderate Dems in red states, which is yummy.
 

IrishLax

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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">McConnell in 2013: “You’ll regret this, and you may regret this a lot sooner than you think,” <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/SCOTUS?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#SCOTUS</a> <a href="https://t.co/6G7DiNM8aO">pic.twitter.com/6G7DiNM8aO</a></p>— Ben Goldey (@BenGoldey) <a href="https://twitter.com/BenGoldey/status/1012060790705278977?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">June 27, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 

Irish YJ

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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">McConnell in 2013: “You’ll regret this, and you may regret this a lot sooner than you think,” <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/SCOTUS?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#SCOTUS</a> <a href="https://t.co/6G7DiNM8aO">pic.twitter.com/6G7DiNM8aO</a></p>— Ben Goldey (@BenGoldey) <a href="https://twitter.com/BenGoldey/status/1012060790705278977?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">June 27, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>


Thank you Mr Reid...
 

Irish YJ

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The more I read about Amy Barrett, the more I like her. Too early for her though. Gonna be Hardiman IMO. Kavanaugh may be too hard to gain 100% support on.
 

ACamp1900

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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">McConnell in 2013: “You’ll regret this, and you may regret this a lot sooner than you think,” <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/SCOTUS?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#SCOTUS</a> <a href="https://t.co/6G7DiNM8aO">pic.twitter.com/6G7DiNM8aO</a></p>— Ben Goldey (@BenGoldey) <a href="https://twitter.com/BenGoldey/status/1012060790705278977?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">June 27, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Wow... chickens sure as hell coming home to roost, aren’t they? This stuff can be applied to so much. Its not all schadenfreude, even tho I did loathe many of those democrats, it’d still be better without the gotcha back and forth bullshit the parties are surely to continue bringing us...
 

wizards8507

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The more I read about Amy Barrett, the more I like her. Too early for her though. Gonna be Hardiman IMO. Kavanaugh may be too hard to gain 100% support on.
0bfedbd89b72a0db9c04035c309f0cc7.jpg
 

Irishize

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I’d hate to be the first name put up because they always seem to be the sacrificial lamb as the opposing party paints them as the second coming of Satan. This should be the most hateful nomination process of all time.
 

wizards8507

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Barrett is apparently a top five candidate. She got Shapiro's full endorsement on the podcast today.
 

Irish YJ

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I’d hate to be the first name put up because they always seem to be the sacrificial lamb as the opposing party paints them as the second coming of Satan. This should be the most hateful nomination process of all time.

It's gonna be fun to watch, that's for sure. I hope the right pushes it hard without lube. Reid did this to himself/party.

Barrett is apparently a top five candidate. She got Shapiro's full endorsement on the podcast today.

3rd in the odds I posted yesterday.

Here's the latest..

Brett Kavanaugh (2.5:1)
Amul Thapar (3.6:1)
Amy Coney Barrett (4.0:1)
Raymond Kethledge (5.0:1)
Kevin Newsom (6.0:1)
Patrick Wyrick (8.0:1)
Britt Grant (8.0:1)
Thomas Hardiman (9.5:1)
Mike Lee (9.5:1)
William Pryor (10.0:1)

If Sotomayor got the green light, Mike Lee will look like a centrist.

That was a pretty ugly one, but it cold have been uglier. 9 republicans supported her nomination. Lee getting some love above, I just don't see it. IMO, Trump needs to pick a young and healthy guy/girl that's not way too right. The farther right, the harder it will be to keep center Repubs like Collins in the fold, and harder it is to apply pressure on center Dems in red States.
 

loomis41973

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Why are the Libs already protesting ANY pick that the POTUS makes?

"We will fight the nominee until the end" says Cryin' Chuck.

SMH
 

Irish YJ

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Why are the Libs already protesting ANY pick that the POTUS makes?

"We will fight the nominee until the end" says Cryin' Chuck.

SMH

Because it's not fair if it's before the mid terms damn it. sniff sniff...
They just need to pick one to keep the fringe repubs happy. And then push it through hard and quick. Cryin' Chuck will keep crying till it happens.
 

ab2cmiller

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It will be interesting to see how Indiana Senator Joe Donnelly handles this nomination. He was one of only 3 Democratic Senators to vote for Gorsuch and he's up for reelection in the fall. He's tried to portray himself as middle of the road using the term "Hossier Common Sense Middle", whatever that means.

It will be specifically interesting to see what he would do if Trump nominates Barrett since he was also one of only 3 Senators to vote for her appointment to the 7th Circuit Court of Appeals.
 
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Irish YJ

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It will be interesting to see how Indiana Senator Joe Donnelly handles this nomination. He was one of only 3 Democratic Senators to vote for Gorsuch and he's up for reelection in the fall. He's tried to portray himself as middle of the road using the term "Hossier Common Sense Middle", whatever that means.

It will be specifically interesting to see what he would do if Trump nominates Barrett since he was also one of only 3 Senators to vote for her appointment to the 7th Circuit Court of Appeals.

Braun is expected to give Donnelly a good battle regardless. Some say IN is the GOP's best shot at gaining a Senate seat.

I'm actually a fan of Donnelly. Roman Catholic (like Barrett), pro-life, middle on immigration, opposes unfair trade agreement, etc.. He's not that different from Braun and I think he's voted with DT more than 50% of the time.

I'd almost prefer to have a middle of the road Dem sitting on that side. If he screws with the SCOTUS nomination, it could definitely be the death of him as IN was a big 20pt win for DT.
 

Sea Turtle

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Why are the Libs already protesting ANY pick that the POTUS makes?

"We will fight the nominee until the end" says Cryin' Chuck.

SMH

Because they just can't believe that he is going to be able to get two SCOTUS picks on the bench before he is even in office for two years. It's mind blowingly bad to them.

I've never really liked rubbing people's faces in stuff or trolling but the left kind of deserves this after their behavior since the 2016 election imho.
 
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