2017 Week 4 Prediction Poll (ND @ MSU)

[notredomer23]

Line has moved to ND -3.5 FWIW.

I am thinking its 24-13 or 24-17 type of game for ND

 

[gkIrish]

I find it odd that so many of you are picking ND in a close game. We basically lose every close game, especially on the road, that we are in.

 

[Armyirish47]

Early stats suggest a solid Irish win. My gut says we continue to dominate in the running game. Western Michigan ran the ball with some success despite a horrid passing game (wait, wut?), and Bowling Green is one of the 10 worst teams in the country. Michigan State had a bye week but they spent most of their time finishing up paperwork to process half of their team off to prison/MAC schools.

Notre Dame 31
Michigan State 17

On to Chuck Martin's audition.

 

[koonja]

I find it odd that so many of you are picking ND in a close game. We basically lose every close game, especially on the road, that we are in.

My vote has nothing to do with faith in BK. I think he'd piss it away as he's always proven to, given the chance.

But what's difference this year, I think Elko's Defense wins this type of a game for BK. It has nothing to do with BK. He's a chump.

 

[notredomer23]

I find it odd that so many of you are picking ND in a close game. We basically lose every close game, especially on the road, that we are in.

Take out 2016 and I'd be willing to bet ND has a +.500 record in one possession road games under Kelly.

 

[Section20Row27]

I find it odd that so many of you are picking ND in a close game. We basically lose every close game, especially on the road, that we are in.

I picked ND to win in a close game. I based this primarily from my experience when I watched them live at the Temple game. The Team and in particular the defense has a different feel to me. Last year on third down I didn't have confidence the the D would stop the opponent, but this year I feel the Team has confidence that they will make the plays.

One side note to this observation: Look at the number of tackles for loss this year compared to last year. I believe in 2016 the team had 61 TFL compared to 22 in 3 games this year. I think that is a good KPI for how the defense has improved year over year.

 

[Buster Bluth]

20-14 Irish

 

[ACamp1900]

Take out 2016 ...

It would be so wonderful if we could...

 

[irish4ever]

23-20 Irish in a tight battle the whole game.

 

[NDVirginia19]

I'd say 27-14. We keep their QB contained, and give up 1 big run play, maybe 1 big YAC reception, but we dominate time of possession and win the turnover battle for a comfortable win

 

[dublinirish]

Tight first half but after HT adjustments ND rolls by 21.

 

[gkIrish]

Take out 2016 and I'd be willing to bet ND has a +.500 record in one possession road games under Kelly.

How much?

(FYI, you're wrong)

 

[BobbyMac]

Take out 2016 and I'd be willing to bet ND has a .500 or better record in one possession road games under Kelly.

FIFY

 

[gkIrish]

FIFY

Still wrong. 6-7 unless I miscounted. 6-9 if you count 2016

 

[BobbyMac]

Still wrong. 6-7 unless I miscounted. 6-9 if you count 2016

I came up with 7-7. I count 8 pt W/L as one possession games.

 

[gkIrish]

I came up with 7-7. I count 8 pt W/L as one possession games.

I was counting 7. If you drop it to FG or less it's an abysmal record.

 

[D-BOE34]

The best part of all of this is... it doesn't matter. Solid convo but why do you care when this season is all that matters?

 

[gkIrish]

The best part of all of this is... it doesn't matter. Solid convo but why do you care when this season is all that matters?

I don't care. I just think it's funny that many people picked ND to win by a FG on the road when it has only happened once (@Pitt 2011) since 2010.

 

[NDdomer2]

using the following website: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michigan_State%E2%80%93Notre_Dame_football_rivalry i ran some numbers about the series.

All time:
Notre Dame 48 wins, Michigan state 29, 1 tie.
Winners average score 25.8, losers average score 10.9.
Winners average score at ND 27.2, losers average score at ND 10.
Winners average score at E.L. 24.1, losers average score at E.L. 12.14
ND's win percentage at Home: 67.4, at E.L.: 54.3.

the average losing score all time is somewhat skewed as notre dame won 13 of the first 15 with MSU scoring no points in all of those loses. ND was also shut out in one of its losses in that time period. There is only 5 shutouts in the series in games 16-78

Numbers since Dantonio (2007, 8 games):
Notre Dame 4 wins, Michigan state 4
Winners average score 28.12, losers average score 17.37.
Winners average score at ND 29.6, losers average score at ND 19.6.
Winners average score at E.L. 25.6, losers average score at E.L. 13.6
ND's win percentage at Home: 60, at E.L.: 33.3.

I predict a 21-17 ND victory Saturday.

 

[GATTACA!]

34-17 Irish.

This has more to do with MSU than ND.

MSU blows.

Fucking nailed it.

 

[snoopdog]

ND 36
Msu 17

Sorry guys. Will try harder next week

 

[ACamp1900]

Sorry guys. Will try harder next week

No excuses...

 

[BobbyMac]

My first loser on the Irish this year. Never had a feeling for it but the box score said I was smart only playing fidy. Went 7-3 today w/ the other losses today being Purdue and Ok St.

 

[snoopdog]

It's funny but on an Irish board 108 out of the 118 who voted, predicted a narrower margin of victory or even a loss.

So when ND exceeds the overwhelming majorities expectations, they still get a semi muted response. I guess last years hangover will linger for awhile

 

[BobbyMac]

It's funny but on an Irish board 108 out of the 118 who voted, predicted a narrower margin of victory or even a loss.

So when ND exceeds the overwhelming majorities expectations, they still get a semi muted response. I guess last years hangover will linger for awhile

2 of the TO's accounted for 14 points of the margin without the offense having to convert them into points, that coupled with yardage / first down stats say the spread could've been much closer.

 

[ACamp1900]

It's funny but on an Irish board 108 out of the 118 who voted, predicted a narrower margin of victory or even a loss.

So when ND exceeds the overwhelming majorities expectations, they still get a semi muted response. I guess last years hangover will linger for awhile

I'm still raging drunk from the last twenty years...

UNC by 21+.... 😉

 

[NDShark]

You're the real hero, snoop, for picking the correct range. You and six other brave souls.

 

[snoopdog]

You're the real hero, snoop, for picking the correct range. You and six other brave souls.

What? I get a medal? Good times