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[Ndaccountant]

Except, Michigan is ranked ahead of MSU, even though MSU beat them.

Do you really think that Wake Forest would beat the likes of Oklahoma, Ole Miss, Texas A&M, etc? I don't.

If Clemson beats Wake Forest this weekend should they jump into the Top 20?

The problem...

[Ndaccountant]

So 6% improvement in scoring based on performance to date of points per drive scored isn't adding to success?...

[Ndaccountant]

Navy this year ranks 92nd in overall offensive efficiency in FEI. Toledo is #99, those are the only 2 that currently rank #75 or worse that we have played.

Last year ND faced Alabama and others, like you mentioned. But ND faced #125 ranked Syracuse, #114 ranked Duke, #108 South Florida,...

[Ndaccountant]

Both can be right and wrong, as I think is the case here.

Honestly, I think Bama is really good and if they beat UGA, they deserve to be in. But if they don't, I would personally exclude them unless all hell breaks loose.

Let's say for a moment that OSU loses to Michigan...

[Ndaccountant]

Let's do some math here.

ND has scored 323 points thus far. 21 points have come from non-offensive TD's. That leaves us with 302 offensive points. So, 30.2 offensive points per game.

Per your math above, 0.7 extra drives per game. Also stated in previous point's, ND is scoring...

[Ndaccountant]

How would they seed a 2 loss Bama? They wouldn't want them at 4 to avoid back to back matchups with UGA. So, they move to #3?...

[Ndaccountant]

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[Ndaccountant]

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[Ndaccountant]

Disagree. points allowed isn't the end all be all. For example (made up figures)...Navy giving up 21 PPG on defense is not the same as Mississippi State giving up 21 PPG. Additionally, Cincy giving up 17 ppg (again, made up) is not the same as Northwestern giving up 17 ppg.

You have...

[Ndaccountant]

I thought the stats made it self evident, but I will spell it out. If PPG are nearly flat, yet points per drive is down, what do you think would allow that to happen? It's either a) more drives, b) non-offensive scores.

Does that answer it for you?...

[Ndaccountant]

And some of it is honestly just pure conjure based on "feel". ND defensive points per drive is 1.60 good for 16th in the country vs last year of 1.73.

The point is, the defense is really, really good. It's different than last year, for sure. But it doesn't mean that it isn't...

[Ndaccountant]

2020 Net Offensive Points per Drive - 2.99
2021 To Date Net Offensive Points per Drive - 2.55

That's a 15% drop off.

Another way of looking at it is how many yards ND gains each drive divided by the total number of yards available. Last year, ND ranked 13th in the country...

[Ndaccountant]

So, you are saying that while the overall product is statistically a top defense, you dismiss it because an element of it can be improved? The defensive rankings include the very issues you speak of.

I think people in general need to get past the "how" and focus on the results....

[Ndaccountant]

True, but Tommy has overcome the QB adversity that he created. Can't ignore that!!...

[Ndaccountant]

Jack Coan, Quinn's OL and our current WR depth playing UGA would be far worse than what UVA experienced this past weekend against ND.

I generally agree with you, that for ND, keeping scoring low is usually a better indication of potential victory in big games versus getting into a shoot...

[Ndaccountant]

Yes and no. While Iowa was an "upset", they were never a top 5 team realistically speaking. Ditto for MSU. The real blue bloods rise to the top. I will be very surprised if the 4 teams in the playoff come from outside the 5 teams of UGA / Bama / OSU / Oregon / Oklahoma. Everyone else is...

[Ndaccountant]

From my position, it has more to do with how the institutions support the programs.

For example, there is a clear difference in how much Alabama is willing to spend on direct and indirect football operations. Compare that to Michigan State as an example. 30 years ago, I would be willing...

[Ndaccountant]

Amazing recruiting effort. You don't land the 2022 LB class and the 2023 class thus far without being an ELITE recruiter. What Kirby Smart said last week was 100% spot on w/r/t recruiting. What makes Saban so great is that he and his staff both recruit and coach at an elite level. ND has had plenty...

[Ndaccountant]

I think it's a major red flag as a person. Look, it's one thing to say something you feel towards a college coach who asks for you opinion. It's another to do say it so openly and brazenly. In my experience, when someone does this, it's usually because either a) they said it in private and feel they...

[Ndaccountant]

Nebraska is Tennessee of the Midwest....